77th Primetime Emmys — Final Predictions for Sunday’s TV Awards

It’s been a long Emmy season, with big nominees playing for a full year ahead of the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards. In fact, it’s been so long that some shows have even returned for another season (The Bear). Below, we’re checking off our final Emmy predictions for the winners of TV’s biggest prizes. In each category, nominees are ranked in order of their likelihood of winning. With that in mind, check out our predictions below!

77th Primetime Emmys — Drama Series Categories

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Walton Goggins
RankActorShow
1Walton GogginsThe White Lotus
2Tramell TillmanSeverance
3John TurturroSeverance
4Sam RockwellThe White Lotus
5Jason IsaacsThe White Lotus
6Zach CherrySeverance
7James MarsdenParadise

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Katherine LaNasa - The Pitt
RankActorShow
1Katherine LaNasaThe Pitt
2Carrie CoonThe White Lotus
3Aimee Lou WoodThe White Lotus
4Parker PoseyThe White Lotus
5Natasha RothwellThe White Lotus
6Patricia ArquetteSeverance
7Julianne NicholsonParadise

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

Hector isn’t doing well they call Walsh to advise. (Warrick Page/MAX)
RankActorShow
1Noah WyleThe Pitt
2Adam ScottSeverance
3Pedro PascalThe Last of Us
4Sterling K. BrownParadise
5Gary OldmanSlow Horses

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

RankActorShow
1Britt LowerSeverance
2Kathy BatesMatlock
3Bella RamseyThe Last of Us
4Keri RussellThe Diplomat
5Sharon HorganBad Sisters

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Dan Gilroy wrote "Welcome to the Rebellion"
RankWriter(s)Show
1Dan GilroyAndor — “Welcome to the Rebellion”
2Dan EricksonSeverance — “Cold Harbor”
3Mike WhiteThe White Lotus — “Full Moon Party”
4R. Scott GemmillThe Pitt — “7 A.M.”
5Will SmithSlow Horses — “Hello, Goodbye”
6Joe SachsThe Pitt — “2 P.M.”

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Ben Stiller directs "Cold Harbor"
RankDirector/EpisodeShow
1Ben StillerSeverance — “Cold Harbor”
2Amanda MarsalisThe Pitt — “6 P.M.”
3Janus MetzAndor — “Who Are You?”
4Jessica Lee GagnéSeverance — “Chikhai Bardo”
5Mike WhiteThe White Lotus — “Amor Fati”
6John WellsThe Pitt — “7 A.M.”
7Adam RandallSlow Horses — “Hello, Goodbye”

Outstanding Drama Series

77th Primetime Emmys - The Pitt
RankShowShow
1The PittMax
2SeveranceApple TV+
3AndorDisney+
4The White LotusHBO
5The Last of UsHBO
6Slow HorsesApple TV+
7The DiplomatNetflix
8ParadiseHulu

This is really a two-horse race, with Severance facing down The Pitt. We’re expecting Severance to take the Drama Series Emmy lead and walk away with at least directing from the Primetime awards. However, The Pitt picked up a much-needed Guest Actor win at the Creative Arts Emmys, and more importantly, it won Best Casting. Winning that prize has correctly predicted 7 of the last 10 winners for the top Drama prize.

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77th Primetime Emmys — Comedy Series Categories

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Hannah Einbinder
RankActorShow
1Hannah EinbinderHacks
2Liza ColónThe Bear
3Catherine O’HaraThe Studio
4Sheryl Lee RalphAbbott Elementary
5Janelle JamesAbbott Elementary
6Jessica WilliamsShrinking
7Kathryn HahnThe Studio

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Ike Barinholtz
RankActorShow
1Ike BarinholtzThe Studio
2Harrison FordShrinking
3Ebon Moss-BachrachThe Bear
4Colman DomingoThe Four Seasons
5Jeff HillerSomebody Somewhere
6Michael UrieShrinking
7Bowen YangSaturday Night Live

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Jean Smart
RankActorShow
1Jean SmartHacks
2Ayo EdibiriThe Bears
3Quinta BrunsonAbbott Elementary
4Uzo AdubaThe Residence
5Kristen BellNobody Wants This

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - Seth Rogen
RankActorShow
1Seth RogenThe Studio
2Martin ShortOnly Murders in the Building
3Jeremy Allen WhiteThe Bear
4Jason SegelShrinking
5Adam BrodyNobody Wants This

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - "Hacks" - Lucia Aniello Paul W. Downs Jen Statsky
RankWritersShow
1Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, and Jen StatskyHacks — “A Slippery Slope”
2Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, Peter Huyck, Alex Gregory, and Frida PerezThe Studio — “The Promotion”
3Quinta BrunsonAbbott Elementary — “Back to School”
4Nathan Fielder, Carrie Kemper, Adam Locke-Norton, and Eric NotarnicolaThe Rehearsal
— “Pilot’s Code”
5Hannah Bos, Paul Thureen, and Bridget EverettSomebody Somewhere — “AGG”
6Sam Johnson, Sarah Naftalis, and Paul SimmsWhat We Do In the Shadows — “The Finale”

Outstanding Directing in a Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - "The Oner" Directed by Seth Rogen and Evan Goldberg
RankDirector(s)Show
1Seth Rogen and Evan GoldbergThe Studio — “The Oner”
2Ayo EdebiriThe Bear — “Napkins”
3Lucia AnielloHacks — “A Slippery Slope”
4Nathan FielderThe Rehearsal — “Pilot’s Code”
5James BurrowsMid-Century Modern — “Here’s to You, Mr. Schneiderman”

Outstanding Comedy Series

77th Primetime Emmys - The Studio
RankShowNetwork
1The StudioApple TV+
2HacksHBO
3Only Murders in the BuildingHulu
4The BearFX
5Abbott ElementaryABC
6ShrinkingApple TV+
7Nobody Wants ThisNetflix
8What We Do in the ShadowsFX

The Studio already leads the Emmy field with nine wins at the Creative Arts awards. No other show competing in the comedy series categories has more than a single win. Additionally, it’s only one win away from tying The Bear for the most wins in a single year. We think it gets there, picking up Outstanding Director and Series to break the Emmy records.

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77th Primetime Emmys — Limited Series or Anthology or TV Movie

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

Deirdre O'Connell - 77th Primetime Emmys
RankActorShow
1Deirdre O’ConnorThe Penguin
2Erin DohertyAdolesence
3Christine TremarcoAdolesence
4Jenny SlateDying for Sex
5Chloë SevignyMonsters: The Erik and Lyle Menendez Story
6Ruth NeggaPresumed Innocence

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

77th Primetime Emmys - Owen Cooper - Adolescence
RankActorShow
1Owen CooperAdolescence
2Ashley WaltersAdolescence
3Peter SarsgaardPeresumed Innocent
4Rob DelaneyDying for Sex
5Javier BardemMonsters: The Erik and Lyle Menendez Story
6Bill CampPresumed Innocent

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

77th Primetime Emmys - The Penguin - Cristin Milioti
RankActorShow
1Cristin MiliotiThe Penguin
2Michelle WilliamsDying for Sex
3Rashida JonesBlack Mirror – “Common People”
4Meghann FahySirens
5Cate BlanchettDisclaimer

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or TV Movie

77th Primetime Emmys - Collin Farrell The Penguin
RankActorShow
1Colin FarrellThe Penguin
2Stephen GrahamAdolescence
3Cooper KochMonsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story
4Brian Tyree HenryDope Thief
5Jake GyllenhaalPresumed Innocent

Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series or Anthology Series or Movie

77th Primetime Emmys - Stephen Graham
RankDirectorShow
1Jack Thorne & Stephen GrahamAdolescence
2Lauren LeFrancThe Penguin — “A Great or Little Thing”
3Kim Rosenstock and Elizabeth MeriwetherDying for Sex — “Good Value Diet Soda”
4Charlie Brooker and Bisha K. AliBlack Mirror — “Common People”
5Joshua ZetumerSay Nothing — “The People in the Dirt”

Outstanding Directing for a Limited Series or Anthology Series or Movie

Adolescence. Erin Doherty as Briony Ariston in Adolescence. Cr. Courtesy of Ben Blackall/Netflix © 2024
RankDirectorShow
1Philip Barantini Adolescence
2Jennifer GetzingerThe Penguin — “A Great or Little Thing”
3Helen ShaverThe Penguin — “Cent’Anni”
4Shannon MurphyDying for Sex — “It’s Not That Serious”
5Nicole KassellSirens — “Exile”
6Lesli Linka GlatterZero Day

Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

RankShowNetwork
1AdolescenceNetflix
2The PenguinHBO
3Dying for SexFX
4Black MirrorNetflix
5Monsters: The Erik & Lyle Menendez StoryNetflix

Can Netflix convert here? They were able to turn Baby Reindeer into the late-breaking limited series of the year in 2024. However, The Penguin won eight Creative Arts Emmys compared to Adolescence winning two. It grabbed the two it should have won for Cinematography and Casting, the second of which has predicted the Limited Series winner in all but 2 years since 2010. We’re leaning towards Adolescence continuing the streak.

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Other Categories

Outstanding Reality Competition Program

RankShowNetwork
1The TraitorsPeacock
2RuPaul’s Drag RaceMTV
3The Amazing RaceCBS
4Top ChefFood Network
5SurvivorCBS

The Traitors won both Reality Host and Reality Competition Program last year. It won Reality Host already at the Creative Arts Emmys. We expect it to take both prizes again.

Outstanding Talk Series

RankShowNetwork
1The Late Show with Stephen ColbertCBS
2The Daily ShowComedy Central
3Jimmy Kimmel Live!ABC

This would be The Daily Show in any normal year, but the way The Late Show with Stephen Colbert was cancelled should earn it some residual love. However, it’s also not their last chance to award the show (it’s already eligible next year), so they may continue to default towards The Daily Show.

Outstanding Scripted Variety Series

RankActorShow
1Last Week Tonight with John OliverHBO
2Saturday Night LiveNBC

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver has won this each of the last two years, the only years it has been eligible.

Variety Show Special (Live)

RankShowNetwork
1SNL50: The Anniversry SpecialNBC
2The Apple Music Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show starring Kendrick LamarFOX
3SNL50: The Homecoming Concert NBC
4Beyoncé BowlNetflix
5The OscarsABC

The only one really out of it is The Oscars, but that’s more of a quality of the other four shining so bright. The Homecoming Concert would be my pick, but The Anniversary special already has seven wins from the craft categories.

Writing Variety Show

RankShowShow
1Last Week Tonight with John OliverHBO
2The Daily ShowComedy Central
3Saturday Night LiveNBC

Last Week Tonight has won this category 9 years in a row. Saturday Night Live is winning for the Anniversary Special, but that does not count in this category. The Daily Show will play spoiler.

Watch the 77th Primetime Emmy Awards on CBS. It starts on September 14, 2025.